DJIA Presidential Year 3 charts

The first line in the legend shows the date range with the position in the Presidential cycle following the year.

The second line begins with the index "DJIA" followed by the difference between the beginning value and the ending value (the return for the year). The second number is the lowest low from the beginning, the third number is the highest high from the beginning. There is a dash between the 2nd and 3rd numbers, not a minus sign.

The third line begins MDD for Maximum drawdown and the percentage amount followed by the date it occurred. The final item in line 3 CAR (Compound Annual Return) should be ignored. CAR is inaccurate in the pre 1953 charts because it assumes a year to be 252 trading days.

Vertical dashed lines have been drawn on the 1st trading day of each month.

1887

1891

1895

1899

1903

1907

1911

1915

1919

1923

1927

1931

1935

1939

1943

1947

1951

1955

1959

1963

1967

1971

1975

1979

1983

1987

1991

1995

1999

2003

2007

2011

The following charts show a rolling 20 year average (5 cycles) of year 3. Each month is made up of 21 trading days including the first 11 and the last 10 trading days of the month. When a month had more than 21 trading days some of the days in the middle have been excluded. When a month had less than 21 trading days some of the days in the middle were counted twice. Prior to 1953 the market traded 6 days a week so some days in the middle of the month were always excluded. Any day with a move of more than 2% had its move counted as 2% so no single day would change the shape of the chart.

1885 - 1905

1895 - 1915

1905 - 1925

1915 - 1935

1925 - 1945

1935 - 1955

1945 - 1965

1955 - 1975

1965 - 1985

1975 - 1995

1985 - 2005


The last chart is a composite of all Presidential Years 3 1885 - 2011