Monthly summary for OTC From 1/30/1963 to 2/16/2006 The number following the year is the position in the presidential cycle. Monthly returns Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Totals 1963-3 0.0% -0.7% 4.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 4.6% -1.5% 2.0% -3.2% 3.2% 15.3% 1964-4 1.8% 1.6% 0.3% 3.7% 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 0.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 23.1% 1965-1 7.5% 1.4% -0.1% 6.6% -3.2% -9.6% 3.6% 4.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 1.7% 30.1% 1966-2 3.8% 1.9% -3.6% 3.9% -4.0% -1.2% -0.9% -9.9% -0.7% 2.1% 4.4% 2.3% -1.5% 1967-3 9.1% 4.0% 7.2% 4.6% 1.8% 5.1% 4.0% 0.2% 3.0% -2.1% 3.1% 1.5% 54.0% 1968-4 -1.9% -1.3% -0.1% 10.9% 5.4% 0.4% -1.9% 2.7% 1.3% -2.0% 3.8% -0.1% 20.6% 1969-1 -2.3% -6.2% 0.6% 1.9% 0.0% -7.4% -8.0% 4.8% 3.2% 11.2% 0.1% -1.6% -.8% 1970-2 -4.4% 4.3% -1.3% -18.9% -12.7% -2.0% 6.1% 1.0% 7.6% -1.8% 3.0% 4.2% -13.7% 1971-3 9.6% 3.1% 4.1% 5.6% -2.8% -1.0% -3.0% 2.7% 0.3% -4.1% 0.3% 7.8% 27.7% Avg 2.03% 0.78% 2.08% 0.81% -1.66% -1.00% -0.56% 2.29% 3.09% 0.24% 2.05% 2.38% 17.55% 1972-4 4.6% 4.9% 1.5% 2.6% 1.8% -2.3% -2.2% 1.2% -0.8% 0.7% 1.0% -0.2% 17.2% 1973-1 -4.1% -6.2% -1.7% -6.9% -4.9% -1.3% 8.5% -2.1% 5.4% -0.7% -14.7% 0.2% -31.1% 1974-2 2.6% 0.2% -1.9% -5.5% -8.5% -6.3% -7.2% -10.4% -8.6% 17.6% -3.2% -3.0% -35.1% 1975-3 15.0% 3.2% 2.5% 4.1% 4.8% 4.7% -3.6% -3.4% -4.6% 4.3% 2.8% -1.3% 29.8% 1976-4 11.5% 3.4% 0.4% -0.4% -1.1% 2.9% 1.1% -1.7% 0.7% -0.1% 0.2% 6.6% 26.1% Avg 5.91% 1.09% 0.15% -1.21% -1.58% -0.46% -0.68% -3.30% -1.56% 4.36% -2.77% 0.47% 1.37% 1977-1 -2.2% -1.8% -1.1% 1.0% -0.3% 4.0% 0.8% -0.7% 0.4% -3.6% 6.6% 1.3% 7.3% 1978-2 -3.0% -0.1% 4.7% 8.8% 3.7% 0.0% 5.1% 6.5% -1.8% -16.6% 0.0% 1.5% 12.3% 1979-3 6.8% -2.5% 6.8% 1.9% -1.8% 4.8% 3.2% 6.0% 1.0% -9.4% 5.7% 5.1% 28.1% 1980-4 9.2% -2.6% -16.5% 5.1% 7.7% 5.1% 8.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.7% 7.8% -1.4% 33.7% 1981-1 -2.8% 2.5% 5.6% 2.6% 3.1% -3.3% -1.4% -7.0% -7.8% 7.8% 2.1% -2.6% -3.0% Avg 1.58% -0.90% -0.09% 3.87% 2.50% 2.13% 3.26% 2.02% -1.03% -4.03% 4.45% 0.77% 15.67% 1982-2 -3.7% -4.0% -2.5% 4.2% -3.5% -3.4% -1.9% 5.5% 5.8% 12.7% 8.3% -1.3% 18.7% 1983-3 7.7% 5.0% 3.4% 9.1% 6.3% 3.5% -5.6% -3.2% 0.7% -6.8% 4.6% -2.6% 19.9% 1984-4 -3.3% -5.2% -1.1% -0.9% -7.0% 1.6% -3.5% 9.1% -0.6% -0.3% -2.2% 2.7% -11.2% 1985-1 13.3% 2.1% -2.8% 0.1% 4.0% 1.9% 1.6% -2.1% -5.5% 3.8% 6.7% 3.7% 31.1% 1986-2 3.3% 6.5% 4.2% 2.4% 4.8% 1.5% -8.9% 3.3% -7.7% 2.3% -0.4% -2.5% 7.5% Avg 3.48% 0.90% 0.25% 2.96% 0.93% 1.03% -3.64% 2.54% -1.43% 2.34% 3.41% -0.03% 13.20% 1987-3 11.8% 7.0% 1.4% -2.5% -0.5% 2.3% 2.5% 5.0% -1.8% -27.9% -7.1% 8.3% -5.3% 1988-4 1.8% 6.0% 2.0% 2.0% -2.5% 5.3% -1.9% -3.0% 4.0% -0.5% -2.9% 2.0% 15.4% 1989-1 5.7% -0.9% 1.7% 4.9% 4.4% -2.9% 4.1% 3.5% 0.3% -4.1% -0.1% -0.5% 19.3% 1990-2 -9.5% 1.9% 1.9% -3.0% 8.8% 0.0% -5.2% -12.5% -9.7% -7.0% 8.6% 3.5% -17.8% 1991-3 11.3% 8.5% 5.6% 0.8% 3.7% -6.1% 4.3% 4.3% 1.1% 2.7% -3.1% 10.4% 56.8% Avg 4.24% 4.50% 2.54% 0.43% 2.80% -0.28% 0.77% -0.53% -1.22% -7.36% -0.91% 4.74% 13.69% 1992-4 5.8% 1.6% -5.0% -3.9% 1.2% -4.2% 2.1% -3.3% 3.1% 4.6% 7.4% 3.5% 15.5% 1993-1 3.7% -4.4% 3.1% -3.7% 5.1% 0.0% 0.2% 5.0% 2.2% 2.1% -3.7% 1.7% 14.7% 1994-2 3.9% -0.6% -5.7% 0.9% -0.7% -4.0% 2.2% 5.6% 0.7% 2.2% -2.8% 1.6% -3.2% 1995-3 1.6% 4.7% 3.2% 3.2% 2.7% 7.4% 7.1% 2.9% 2.4% 0.8% 1.8% -0.3% 39.9% 1996-4 0.1% 2.9% 1.4% 7.6% 3.6% -4.3% -9.8% 3.9% 7.4% 0.0% 5.8% -0.7% 22.7% Avg 2.99% 0.83% -0.61% 0.81% 2.39% -1.03% 0.36% 2.82% 3.16% 2.44% 1.69% 1.17% 17.93% 1997-1 7.7% -4.9% -6.8% 3.6% 10.2% 2.6% 10.8% -0.4% 4.2% -5.7% -1.8% -3.7% 21.6% 1998-2 2.4% 7.1% 4.4% 1.1% -5.0% 8.5% -2.2% -19.0% 7.5% 9.9% 8.3% 9.4% 39.6% 1999-3 13.5% -8.9% 7.2% 2.0% -2.6% 11.3% -2.5% 4.4% -0.2% 8.4% 12.4% 21.3% 85.6% 2000-4 -4.6% 15.9% -4.4% -8.6% -14.1% 10.7% -5.6% 14.1% -13.3% -5.6% -22.1% -6.6% -39.3% 2001-1 21.0% -22.7% -15.7% 18.7% -2.7% 0.5% -5.7% -12.7% -15.4% 14.2% 10.6% 2.4% -21.1% Avg 8.00% -2.68% -3.07% 3.36% -2.83% 6.73% -1.04% -2.72% -3.41% 4.22% 1.47% 4.57% 17.30% 2002-2 -2.3% -9.4% 2.4% -9.4% -3.7% -6.4% -5.4% 2.7% -7.3% 9.6% 8.7% -10.1% -31.5% 2003-3 -4.6% 1.0% 1.6% 8.6% 8.4% 2.0% 5.8% 5.5% -3.0% 5.5% -0.4% 0.7% 50.0% 2004-4 3.0% -1.6% -3.1% -4.7% 2.5% 2.9% -6.4% -2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 5.9% 1.7% 8.6% 2005-1 -4.2% -0.8% -3.5% -3.2% 7.2% -1.5% 6.2% -2.0% 0.2% -1.6% 5.6% -2.7% 1.4% 2006-2 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% .0% Avg -1.07% -2.12% -0.66% -2.16% 3.60% -0.74% 0.06% 0.86% -1.88% 3.77% 4.96% -2.59% 7.11% Averages 3.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.4% -0.3% 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 13.8% Win% 67% 57% 58% 70% 56% 56% 51% 60% 60% 57% 67% 60% 71% Break down by presidential years Year 1 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Totals 1965-1 7.5% 1.4% -0.1% 6.6% -3.2% -9.6% 3.6% 4.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 1.7% 30.1% 1969-1 -2.3% -6.2% 0.6% 1.9% 0.0% -7.4% -8.0% 4.8% 3.2% 11.2% 0.1% -1.6% -.8% 1973-1 -4.1% -6.2% -1.7% -6.9% -4.9% -1.3% 8.5% -2.1% 5.4% -0.7% -14.7% 0.2% -31.1% 1977-1 -2.2% -1.8% -1.1% 1.0% -0.3% 4.0% 0.8% -0.7% 0.4% -3.6% 6.6% 1.3% 7.3% 1981-1 -2.8% 2.5% 5.6% 2.6% 3.1% -3.3% -1.4% -7.0% -7.8% 7.8% 2.1% -2.6% -3.0% 1985-1 13.3% 2.1% -2.8% 0.1% 4.0% 1.9% 1.6% -2.1% -5.5% 3.8% 6.7% 3.7% 31.1% Avg 0.38% -1.92% 0.12% -0.27% 0.39% -1.19% 0.29% -1.39% -0.84% 3.71% 0.16% 0.20% 0.72% 1989-1 5.7% -0.9% 1.7% 4.9% 4.4% -2.9% 4.1% 3.5% 0.3% -4.1% -0.1% -0.5% 19.3% 1993-1 3.7% -4.4% 3.1% -3.7% 5.1% 0.0% 0.2% 5.0% 2.2% 2.1% -3.7% 1.7% 14.7% 1997-1 7.7% -4.9% -6.8% 3.6% 10.2% 2.6% 10.8% -0.4% 4.2% -5.7% -1.8% -3.7% 21.6% 2001-1 21.0% -22.7% -15.7% 18.7% -2.7% 0.5% -5.7% -12.7% -15.4% 14.2% 10.6% 2.4% -21.1% 2005-1 -4.2% -0.8% -3.5% -3.2% 7.2% -1.5% 6.2% -2.0% 0.2% -1.6% 5.6% -2.7% 1.4% Avg 6.79% -6.73% -4.24% 4.06% 4.85% -0.25% 3.12% -1.32% -1.69% 0.96% 2.10% -0.57% 7.19% Averages 3.9% -3.8% -1.9% 2.3% 2.1% -1.5% 1.9% -0.8% -0.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.0% 6.3% Win% 55% 27% 36% 73% 64% 36% 73% 36% 73% 55% 64% 55% 64% Year 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Totals 1966-2 3.8% 1.9% -3.6% 3.9% -4.0% -1.2% -0.9% -9.9% -0.7% 2.1% 4.4% 2.3% -1.5% 1970-2 -4.4% 4.3% -1.3% -18.9% -12.7% -2.0% 6.1% 1.0% 7.6% -1.8% 3.0% 4.2% -13.7% 1974-2 2.6% 0.2% -1.9% -5.5% -8.5% -6.3% -7.2% -10.4% -8.6% 17.6% -3.2% -3.0% -35.1% 1978-2 -3.0% -0.1% 4.7% 8.8% 3.7% 0.0% 5.1% 6.5% -1.8% -16.6% 0.0% 1.5% 12.3% 1982-2 -3.7% -4.0% -2.5% 4.2% -3.5% -3.4% -1.9% 5.5% 5.8% 12.7% 8.3% -1.3% 18.7% 1986-2 3.3% 6.5% 4.2% 2.4% 4.8% 1.5% -8.9% 3.3% -7.7% 2.3% -0.4% -2.5% 7.5% Avg -1.04% 1.41% 0.62% -1.81% -3.23% -2.05% -1.35% 1.17% -0.92% 2.84% 1.52% -0.22% -2.07% 1990-2 -9.5% 1.9% 1.9% -3.0% 8.8% 0.0% -5.2% -12.5% -9.7% -7.0% 8.6% 3.5% -17.8% 1994-2 3.9% -0.6% -5.7% 0.9% -0.7% -4.0% 2.2% 5.6% 0.7% 2.2% -2.8% 1.6% -3.2% 1998-2 2.4% 7.1% 4.4% 1.1% -5.0% 8.5% -2.2% -19.0% 7.5% 9.9% 8.3% 9.4% 39.6% 2002-2 -2.3% -9.4% 2.4% -9.4% -3.7% -6.4% -5.4% 2.7% -7.3% 9.6% 8.7% -10.1% -31.5% 2006-2 2.8% 0.2% .0% Avg -0.55% -0.15% 0.74% -2.60% -0.17% -0.47% -2.64% -5.80% -2.19% 3.65% 5.68% 1.11% -3.23% Averages -0.4% 0.7% 0.2% -1.6% -2.1% -1.3% -1.8% -2.7% -1.4% 3.1% 3.5% 0.6% -2.5% Win% 55% 64% 50% 60% 30% 30% 30% 60% 40% 70% 70% 60% 40% Year 3 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Totals 1963-3 -0.7% 4.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 4.6% -1.5% 2.0% -3.2% 3.2% 15.3% 1967-3 9.1% 4.0% 7.2% 4.6% 1.8% 5.1% 4.0% 0.2% 3.0% -2.1% 3.1% 1.5% 54.0% 1971-3 9.6% 3.1% 4.1% 5.6% -2.8% -1.0% -3.0% 2.7% 0.3% -4.1% 0.3% 7.8% 27.7% 1975-3 15.0% 3.2% 2.5% 4.1% 4.8% 4.7% -3.6% -3.4% -4.6% 4.3% 2.8% -1.3% 29.8% 1979-3 6.8% -2.5% 6.8% 1.9% -1.8% 4.8% 3.2% 6.0% 1.0% -9.4% 5.7% 5.1% 28.1% 1983-3 7.7% 5.0% 3.4% 9.1% 6.3% 3.5% -5.6% -3.2% 0.7% -6.8% 4.6% -2.6% 19.9% Avg 9.63% 2.56% 4.81% 5.05% 1.67% 3.42% -1.00% 0.46% 0.10% -3.62% 3.32% 2.09% 31.88% 1987-3 11.8% 7.0% 1.4% -2.5% -0.5% 2.3% 2.5% 5.0% -1.8% -27.9% -7.1% 8.3% -5.3% 1991-3 11.3% 8.5% 5.6% 0.8% 3.7% -6.1% 4.3% 4.3% 1.1% 2.7% -3.1% 10.4% 56.8% 1995-3 1.6% 4.7% 3.2% 3.2% 2.7% 7.4% 7.1% 2.9% 2.4% 0.8% 1.8% -0.3% 39.9% 1999-3 13.5% -8.9% 7.2% 2.0% -2.6% 11.3% -2.5% 4.4% -0.2% 8.4% 12.4% 21.3% 85.6% 2003-3 -4.6% 1.0% 1.6% 8.6% 8.4% 2.0% 5.8% 5.5% -3.0% 5.5% -0.4% 0.7% 50.0% Avg 6.71% 2.46% 3.81% 2.42% 2.36% 3.39% 3.44% 4.44% -0.29% -2.10% 0.73% 8.08% 45.42% Averages 8.2% 2.2% 4.3% 3.7% 1.9% 3.1% 1.1% 2.6% -0.2% -2.4% 1.6% 4.9% 36.5% Win% 90% 73% 100% 91% 64% 82% 64% 82% 55% 55% 64% 73% 91% Year 4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Totals 1964-4 1.8% 1.6% 0.3% 3.7% 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 0.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 23.1% 1968-4 -1.9% -1.3% -0.1% 10.9% 5.4% 0.4% -1.9% 2.7% 1.3% -2.0% 3.8% -0.1% 20.6% 1972-4 4.6% 4.9% 1.5% 2.6% 1.8% -2.3% -2.2% 1.2% -0.8% 0.7% 1.0% -0.2% 17.2% 1976-4 11.5% 3.4% 0.4% -0.4% -1.1% 2.9% 1.1% -1.7% 0.7% -0.1% 0.2% 6.6% 26.1% 1980-4 9.2% -2.6% -16.5% 5.1% 7.7% 5.1% 8.6% 5.2% 3.0% 1.7% 7.8% -1.4% 33.7% 1984-4 -3.3% -5.2% -1.1% -0.9% -7.0% 1.6% -3.5% 9.1% -0.6% -0.3% -2.2% 2.7% -11.2% Avg 4.02% -0.17% -3.16% 3.44% 1.36% 1.52% 0.45% 3.31% 0.73% -0.02% 2.13% 1.52% 17.26% 1988-4 1.8% 6.0% 2.0% 2.0% -2.5% 5.3% -1.9% -3.0% 4.0% -0.5% -2.9% 2.0% 15.4% 1992-4 5.8% 1.6% -5.0% -3.9% 1.2% -4.2% 2.1% -3.3% 3.1% 4.6% 7.4% 3.5% 15.5% 1996-4 0.1% 2.9% 1.4% 7.6% 3.6% -4.3% -9.8% 3.9% 7.4% 5.8% -0.7% 22.7% 2000-4 -4.6% 15.9% -4.4% -8.6% -14.1% 10.7% -5.6% 14.1% -13.3% -5.6% -22.1% -6.6% -39.3% 2004-4 3.0% -1.6% -3.1% -4.7% 2.5% 2.9% -6.4% -2.9% 2.5% 1.7% 5.9% 1.7% 8.6% Avg 1.21% 4.95% -1.82% -1.53% -1.84% 2.06% -4.31% 1.78% 0.75% 0.05% -1.16% 0.00% 4.57% Averages 2.5% 2.3% -2.2% 1.2% -0.1% 1.8% -1.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 12.% Win% 73% 64% 45% 55% 64% 73% 36% 64% 73% 50% 73% 55% 82%